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Calculate probability of meeting targets

Source: R/calculate_probs.R
calculate_probs.Rd

Calculate probability of meeting targets

Usage

calculate_probs(
  projected_trends = preds_sm,
  ref_year = 2014,
  targ_year = 2026,
  prob_decrease = NULL,
  prob_increase = NULL
)

Arguments

tibble with all draws, years, projected trends, output of proj_trend function

ref_year

numeric year in which change is measured from i.e. 2014

targ_year

numeric year in which target will be reached i.e. 2026

prob_decrease

numeric vector of predicted target increase. i.e c(25, 35). Determine the probability that trend will increase 25% to 35% by target year

prob_increase

numeric vector of predicted target decrease. i.e c(25, 35). Determine the probability that trend will decline by 25% to 35% by target year

Value

tibble with the average percent change in addition to probability of increase or decrease

Examples

if (FALSE) { # \dontrun{
  test_st <- calculate_probs(predicted_trends = preds_sm,
        ref_year = 2014,
        targ_year = 2026,
        prob_increase = c(targ$st_pop_pc_lower,targ$st_pop_pc_uppper))
} # }